Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 10.245321 11.704484 13.306228 15.196361 17.367768 19.786501 22.688280
2025-12-07 8.322684 10.243016 12.518303 15.418429 19.024978 23.373247 29.030148
2025-12-14 7.098605 9.207402 11.844569 15.395348 20.068386 26.032073 34.258462
2025-12-21 6.181671 8.369334 11.228664 15.256001 20.809824 28.239313 38.999555
2025-12-28 5.711558 8.029325 11.178612 15.794233 22.428169 31.681565 45.678812
2026-01-04 5.281011 7.677094 11.047513 16.166173 23.801502 34.860392 52.259028
2026-01-11 4.965032 7.442777 11.040549 16.686351 25.401557 38.471959 59.798938
2026-01-18 4.459440 6.871033 10.473817 16.296240 25.565711 39.911397 64.105073
2026-01-25 4.055592 6.411101 10.024937 16.028427 25.867146 41.551187 68.839419
2026-02-01 3.708355 6.004839 9.617172 15.775819 26.148342 43.152220 73.623503
2026-02-08 3.401773 5.634624 9.230546 15.513381 26.372485 44.652859 78.345379
2026-02-15 3.127917 5.293320 8.859289 15.236534 26.533523 46.038272 82.965816
2026-02-22 3.043166 5.266988 9.015907 15.886496 28.377238 50.526738 93.670221
2026-03-01 2.894852 5.117459 8.947907 16.132101 29.517451 53.861864 102.578588
2026-03-08 2.717742 4.901071 8.742881 16.107442 30.151131 56.313125 110.027573
2026-03-15 2.539442 4.667247 8.486281 15.961394 30.535929 58.318136 116.781623
2026-03-22 2.476190 4.639832 8.602450 16.525587 32.328707 63.171175 129.738186
2026-03-29 2.393356 4.568165 8.628897 16.915491 33.807685 67.530505 142.109535
2026-04-05 2.335037 4.538366 8.731172 17.460822 35.642752 72.761158 156.853885
2026-04-12 2.168265 4.282937 8.375812 17.051845 35.473376 73.843128 162.676772
2026-04-19 2.029681 4.073222 8.094700 16.771091 35.545515 75.430749 169.770665
2026-04-26 1.903829 3.879914 7.831972 16.506285 35.625914 77.035819 177.054157
2026-05-03 1.786667 3.695899 7.574591 16.231184 35.657687 78.530978 184.222645